iBUYPOWER Masters FML 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Liquid#27 in the world · win 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Wildcard#46 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeWildcard ban
60%40%
Liquid · 11 mapsedge Liquid +20%Wildcard · 6 maps
Infernopossible decider
75%50%
Liquid · 4 mapsedge Liquid +25%Wildcard · 10 maps
CacheLiquid ban
62%50%
Liquid · 9 mapsedge Liquid +12%Wildcard · 4 maps
MirageLiquid pick
70%40%
Liquid · 6 mapsedge Liquid +30%Wildcard · 6 maps
AnubisWildcard ban
67%50%
Liquid · 11 mapsedge Liquid +17%Wildcard · 0 maps
Dust2Wildcard pick
45%50%
Liquid · 7 mapsedge Wildcard +5%Wildcard · 4 maps
AncientLiquid ban
40%50%
Liquid · 1 mapedge Wildcard +10%Wildcard · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLiquid remove Ancient
2. BanWildcard remove Anubis
3. PickLiquid take Mirage
4. PickWildcard take Dust2
5. BanWildcard remove Nuke
6. BanLiquid remove Cache
DeciderInferno (75% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:4
Liquid 73%Wildcard 27%
The model gave 73% on Liquid — the map was taken by Liquid.
Anubisprediction correct13:9
Liquid 69%Wildcard 31%
The model gave 69% on Liquid — the map was taken by Liquid.
Model check result
Model favoriteLiquid · 62%
Series resultLiquid 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2