CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
los kogutos#123 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:2
UNiTY#102 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2los kogutos ban
25%36%
los kogutos · 4 mapsedge UNiTY +11%UNiTY · 10 maps
Ancientlos kogutos pick
63%46%
los kogutos · 4 mapsedge los kogutos +17%UNiTY · 9 maps
Miragepossible decider
38%46%
los kogutos · 4 mapsedge UNiTY +8%UNiTY · 9 maps
AnubisUNiTY ban
40%40%
los kogutos · 1 mapnearly even +0%UNiTY · 6 maps
Infernolos kogutos ban
50%57%
los kogutos · 0 mapsedge UNiTY +7%UNiTY · 3 maps
NukeUNiTY ban
57%50%
los kogutos · 3 mapsedge los kogutos +7%UNiTY · 0 maps
CacheUNiTY pick
33%50%
los kogutos · 2 mapsedge UNiTY +17%UNiTY · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banlos kogutos remove Inferno
2. BanUNiTY remove Nuke
3. Picklos kogutos take Ancient
4. PickUNiTY take Cache
5. BanUNiTY remove Anubis
6. Banlos kogutos remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (38% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct10:13
los kogutos 36%UNiTY 64%
The model gave 64% on UNiTY — the map was taken by UNiTY.
Mirageprediction missed22:20
los kogutos 38%UNiTY 62%
The model gave 62% on UNiTY — the map was taken by los kogutos.
Ancientprediction missed7:13
los kogutos 66%UNiTY 34%
The model gave 66% on los kogutos — the map was taken by UNiTY.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNiTY · 60%
Series resultUNiTY 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3