ESL Challenger League Season 51 Oceania Cup 4 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:0
FURYloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
low cortisol 50%FURY 50%
The model gave 50% on low cortisol — the map was taken by low cortisol.
Model check result
Model favoritelow cortisol · 50%
Series resultlow cortisol 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1