BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
LP#107 in the world · win 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BESTIA Academy#172 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BESTIA Academy ban
55%40%
LP · 7 mapsedge LP +15%BESTIA Academy · 1 map
AncientBESTIA Academy pick
43%50%
LP · 3 mapsedge BESTIA Academy +7%BESTIA Academy · 4 maps
InfernoLP pick
57%43%
LP · 3 mapsedge LP +14%BESTIA Academy · 3 maps
NukeLP ban
63%60%
LP · 4 mapsnearly even +3%BESTIA Academy · 1 map
OverpassBESTIA Academy ban
50%40%
LP · 2 mapsedge LP +10%BESTIA Academy · 1 map
MirageLP ban
60%40%
LP · 1 mapedge LP +20%BESTIA Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLP remove Mirage
2. BanBESTIA Academy remove Overpass
3. PickLP take Inferno
4. PickBESTIA Academy take Ancient
5. BanBESTIA Academy remove Dust2
6. BanLP remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
LP 61%BESTIA Academy 39%
The model gave 61% on LP — the map was taken by LP.
Infernoprediction correct13:5
LP 67%BESTIA Academy 33%
The model gave 67% on LP — the map was taken by LP.
Model check result
Model favoriteLP · 74%
Series resultLP 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2