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CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
LP#107 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Galorys#68 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2LP ban
44%50%
LP · 5 mapsedge Galorys +6%Galorys · 2 maps
AncientLP pick
43%57%
LP · 3 mapsedge Galorys +14%Galorys · 3 maps
MirageLP ban
60%67%
LP · 1 mapedge Galorys +7%Galorys · 2 maps
NukeGalorys ban
50%40%
LP · 2 mapsedge LP +10%Galorys · 1 map
OverpassGalorys pick
40%50%
LP · 1 mapedge Galorys +10%Galorys · 2 maps
InfernoGalorys ban
50%50%
LP · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Galorys · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLP remove Mirage
2. BanGalorys remove Inferno
3. PickLP take Ancient
4. PickGalorys take Overpass
5. BanGalorys remove Nuke
6. BanLP remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction missed13:7
LP 37%Galorys 63%
The model gave 63% on Galorys — the map was taken by LP.
Nukeprediction correct13:6
LP 63%Galorys 37%
The model gave 63% on LP — the map was taken by LP.
Model check result
Model favoriteGalorys · 52%
Series resultLP 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2