BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
LP#107 in the world · win 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Keyd Stars#155 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Keyd Stars pick
54%63%
LP · 9 mapsedge Keyd Stars +9%Keyd Stars · 12 maps
AncientLP ban
50%50%
LP · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Keyd Stars · 6 maps
Nukepossible decider
56%56%
LP · 5 mapsnearly even +0%Keyd Stars · 5 maps
MirageLP pick
75%44%
LP · 4 mapsedge LP +31%Keyd Stars · 5 maps
InfernoKeyd Stars ban
73%50%
LP · 7 mapsedge LP +23%Keyd Stars · 0 maps
OverpassKeyd Stars ban
50%50%
LP · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Keyd Stars · 2 maps
AnubisLP ban
50%57%
LP · 0 mapsedge Keyd Stars +7%Keyd Stars · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLP remove Anubis
2. BanKeyd Stars remove Inferno
3. PickLP take Mirage
4. PickKeyd Stars take Dust2
5. BanKeyd Stars remove Overpass
6. BanLP remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (56% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:2
LP 38%Keyd Stars 62%
The model gave 62% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by LP.
Nukeprediction correct13:4
LP 53%Keyd Stars 47%
The model gave 53% on LP — the map was taken by LP.
Model check result
Model favoriteLP · 62%
Series resultLP 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2