CCT 2026 Contenders Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
LPH#150 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
mellren#94 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2LPH ban
67%40%
LPH · 5 mapsedge LPH +27%mellren · 1 map
Ancientmellren pick
67%50%
LPH · 2 mapsedge LPH +17%mellren · 2 maps
InfernoLPH pick
67%50%
LPH · 2 mapsedge LPH +17%mellren · 2 maps
MirageLPH ban
50%67%
LPH · 0 mapsedge mellren +17%mellren · 2 maps
Nukemellren ban
50%50%
LPH · 2 mapsnearly even +0%mellren · 0 maps
Anubismellren ban
60%50%
LPH · 1 mapedge LPH +10%mellren · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLPH remove Mirage
2. Banmellren remove Nuke
3. PickLPH take Inferno
4. Pickmellren take Ancient
5. Banmellren remove Anubis
6. BanLPH remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed10:13
LPH 69%mellren 31%
The model gave 69% on LPH — the map was taken by mellren.
Dust2prediction missed6:13
LPH 73%mellren 27%
The model gave 73% on LPH — the map was taken by mellren.
Model check result
Model favoriteLPH · 59%
Series resultmellren 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2