CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
LPH#150 in the world · win 2:0series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SAW Youngsters#143 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoSAW Youngsters pick
63%76%
LPH · 4 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +13%SAW Youngsters · 13 maps
AncientLPH ban
55%45%
LPH · 7 mapsedge LPH +10%SAW Youngsters · 7 maps
Dust2possible decider
64%55%
LPH · 7 mapsedge LPH +9%SAW Youngsters · 7 maps
MirageLPH ban
50%43%
LPH · 0 mapsedge LPH +7%SAW Youngsters · 10 maps
NukeSAW Youngsters ban
50%44%
LPH · 4 mapsedge LPH +6%SAW Youngsters · 5 maps
AnubisSAW Youngsters ban
57%43%
LPH · 3 mapsedge LPH +14%SAW Youngsters · 3 maps
DefaultLPH pick
50%40%
LPH · 0 mapsedge LPH +10%SAW Youngsters · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLPH remove Mirage
2. BanSAW Youngsters remove Anubis
3. PickLPH take Default
4. PickSAW Youngsters take Inferno
5. BanSAW Youngsters remove Nuke
6. BanLPH remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (64% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:6
LPH 58%SAW Youngsters 42%
The model gave 58% on LPH — the map was taken by LPH.
Infernoprediction missed13:9
LPH 31%SAW Youngsters 69%
The model gave 69% on SAW Youngsters — the map was taken by LPH.
Model check result
Model favoriteSAW Youngsters · 55%
Series resultLPH 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2