Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Luminosity#30 in the world · win 13:4series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 13:4
M80#27 in the world · loss 4:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoLuminosity ban
33%54%
Luminosity · 5 mapsedge M80 +21%M80 · 9 maps
Dust2M80 ban
40%50%
Luminosity · 6 mapsedge M80 +10%M80 · 6 maps
Miragepossible decider
57%56%
Luminosity · 3 mapsnearly even +1%M80 · 5 maps
AncientLuminosity ban
33%56%
Luminosity · 2 mapsedge M80 +23%M80 · 5 maps
CacheLuminosity ban
40%70%
Luminosity · 1 mapedge M80 +30%M80 · 6 maps
NukeM80 ban
56%50%
Luminosity · 5 mapsedge Luminosity +6%M80 · 0 maps
AnubisM80 ban
50%50%
Luminosity · 0 mapsnearly even +0%M80 · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLuminosity remove Cache
2. BanM80 remove Nuke
3. BanLuminosity remove Inferno
4. BanM80 remove Anubis
5. BanLuminosity remove Ancient
6. BanM80 remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (57% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:4
Luminosity 29%M80 71%
The model gave 71% on M80 — the map was taken by Luminosity.
Model check result
Model favoriteM80 · 58%
Series resultLuminosity 13:4
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1