ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Lynn Vision#36 in the world · win 2:0series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The Huns#123 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
47%60%
Lynn Vision · 11 mapsedge The Huns +13%The Huns · 16 maps
InfernoLynn Vision pick
64%25%
Lynn Vision · 7 mapsedge Lynn Vision +39%The Huns · 12 maps
AncientLynn Vision ban
42%50%
Lynn Vision · 8 mapsedge The Huns +8%The Huns · 8 maps
NukeThe Huns pick
67%56%
Lynn Vision · 2 mapsedge Lynn Vision +11%The Huns · 14 maps
CacheThe Huns ban
33%56%
Lynn Vision · 2 mapsedge The Huns +23%The Huns · 5 maps
MirageLynn Vision ban
50%27%
Lynn Vision · 0 mapsedge Lynn Vision +23%The Huns · 7 maps
AnubisThe Huns ban
50%50%
Lynn Vision · 2 mapsnearly even +0%The Huns · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLynn Vision remove Mirage
2. BanThe Huns remove Anubis
3. PickLynn Vision take Inferno
4. PickThe Huns take Nuke
5. BanThe Huns remove Cache
6. BanLynn Vision remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (47% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:9
Lynn Vision 59%The Huns 41%
The model gave 59% on Lynn Vision — the map was taken by Lynn Vision.
Infernoprediction correct13:11
Lynn Vision 86%The Huns 14%
The model gave 86% on Lynn Vision — the map was taken by Lynn Vision.
Model check result
Model favoriteLynn Vision · 81%
Series resultLynn Vision 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2