?
Winamax Spanish Circuit Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
m0nSt3rSwin 2:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
CarritoSpain#198 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct6:13
m0nSt3rS 47%CarritoSpain 53%
The model gave 53% on CarritoSpain — the map was taken by CarritoSpain.
Anubisprediction correct13:7
m0nSt3rS 53%CarritoSpain 47%
The model gave 53% on m0nSt3rS — the map was taken by m0nSt3rS.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
m0nSt3rS 50%CarritoSpain 50%
The model gave 50% on m0nSt3rS — the map was taken by m0nSt3rS.
Model check result
Model favoritem0nSt3rS · 50%
Series resultm0nSt3rS 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3