CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Dripmen#231 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultM1X KS ban
50%57%
M1X KS · 0 mapsedge Dripmen +7%Dripmen · 3 maps
Ancientpossible decider
40%40%
M1X KS · 1 mapnearly even +0%Dripmen · 1 map
Dust2M1X KS pick
60%40%
M1X KS · 1 mapedge M1X KS +20%Dripmen · 1 map
InfernoDripmen pick
50%50%
M1X KS · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Dripmen · 2 maps
MirageDripmen ban
67%50%
M1X KS · 2 mapsedge M1X KS +17%Dripmen · 0 maps
AnubisDripmen ban
40%50%
M1X KS · 1 mapedge Dripmen +10%Dripmen · 0 maps
OverpassM1X KS ban
50%40%
M1X KS · 0 mapsedge M1X KS +10%Dripmen · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanM1X KS remove Overpass
2. BanDripmen remove Mirage
3. PickM1X KS take Dust2
4. PickDripmen take Inferno
5. BanDripmen remove Anubis
6. BanM1X KS remove Default
DeciderAncient (40% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
M1X KS 43%Dripmen 57%
The model gave 57% on Dripmen — the map was taken by M1X KS.
Model check result
Model favoriteM1X KS · 51%
Series resultM1X KS 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1