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iBUYPOWER Masters FML 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
M80#27 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BESTIA#65 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BESTIA pick
45%65%
M80 · 7 mapsedge BESTIA +20%BESTIA · 16 maps
InfernoBESTIA ban
50%58%
M80 · 10 mapsedge BESTIA +8%BESTIA · 8 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%64%
M80 · 6 mapsedge BESTIA +14%BESTIA · 10 maps
AncientM80 ban
55%50%
M80 · 7 mapsedge M80 +5%BESTIA · 8 maps
CacheM80 pick
70%42%
M80 · 6 mapsedge M80 +28%BESTIA · 8 maps
NukeM80 ban
50%60%
M80 · 0 mapsedge BESTIA +10%BESTIA · 6 maps
AnubisBESTIA ban
50%50%
M80 · 2 mapsnearly even +0%BESTIA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanM80 remove Nuke
2. BanBESTIA remove Anubis
3. PickM80 take Cache
4. PickBESTIA take Dust2
5. BanBESTIA remove Inferno
6. BanM80 remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (50% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:6
M80 33%BESTIA 67%
The model gave 67% on BESTIA — the map was taken by M80.
Cacheprediction correct13:6
M80 79%BESTIA 21%
The model gave 79% on M80 — the map was taken by M80.
Model check result
Model favoriteM80 · 70%
Series resultM80 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2