iBUYPOWER Masters FML 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
M80#27 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
DENDELE#41 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheM80 pick
73%64%
M80 · 7 mapsedge M80 +9%DENDELE · 10 maps
MirageDENDELE ban
55%42%
M80 · 7 mapsedge M80 +13%DENDELE · 8 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%57%
M80 · 10 mapsedge DENDELE +7%DENDELE · 3 maps
AncientM80 ban
55%44%
M80 · 7 mapsedge M80 +11%DENDELE · 5 maps
AnubisDENDELE pick
50%67%
M80 · 2 mapsedge DENDELE +17%DENDELE · 5 maps
Dust2DENDELE ban
45%50%
M80 · 7 mapsedge DENDELE +5%DENDELE · 0 maps
NukeM80 ban
50%56%
M80 · 0 mapsedge DENDELE +6%DENDELE · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanM80 remove Nuke
2. BanDENDELE remove Dust2
3. PickM80 take Cache
4. PickDENDELE take Anubis
5. BanDENDELE remove Mirage
6. BanM80 remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (50% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed9:13
M80 65%DENDELE 35%
The model gave 65% on M80 — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Ancientprediction missed13:16
M80 57%DENDELE 43%
The model gave 57% on M80 — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Model check result
Model favoriteM80 · 61%
Series resultDENDELE 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2