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iBUYPOWER Masters FML 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
M80#27 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:1
DENDELE#41 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheM80 pick
69%64%
M80 · 9 mapsedge M80 +5%DENDELE · 10 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%50%
M80 · 8 mapsnearly even +0%DENDELE · 10 maps
AncientM80 ban
54%50%
M80 · 9 mapsnearly even +4%DENDELE · 6 maps
InfernoDENDELE ban
50%50%
M80 · 10 mapsnearly even +0%DENDELE · 4 maps
AnubisDENDELE pick
43%67%
M80 · 3 mapsedge DENDELE +24%DENDELE · 5 maps
Dust2DENDELE ban
45%50%
M80 · 7 mapsedge DENDELE +5%DENDELE · 0 maps
NukeM80 ban
50%50%
M80 · 0 mapsnearly even +0%DENDELE · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanM80 remove Nuke
2. BanDENDELE remove Dust2
3. PickM80 take Cache
4. PickDENDELE take Anubis
5. BanDENDELE remove Inferno
6. BanM80 remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed7:13
M80 53%DENDELE 47%
The model gave 53% on M80 — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Anubisprediction missed13:9
M80 25%DENDELE 75%
The model gave 75% on DENDELE — the map was taken by M80.
Cacheprediction correct19:16
M80 56%DENDELE 44%
The model gave 56% on M80 — the map was taken by M80.
Model check result
Model favoriteM80 · 52%
Series resultM80 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3