CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BERG#192 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageBERG ban
35%50%
Mai Tai · 13 mapsedge BERG +15%BERG · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
38%60%
Mai Tai · 12 mapsedge BERG +22%BERG · 1 map
AncientBERG ban
33%43%
Mai Tai · 5 mapsedge BERG +10%BERG · 3 maps
NukeBERG pick
43%50%
Mai Tai · 3 mapsedge BERG +7%BERG · 4 maps
AnubisMai Tai ban
43%43%
Mai Tai · 3 mapsnearly even +0%BERG · 3 maps
CacheMai Tai pick
50%50%
Mai Tai · 4 mapsnearly even +0%BERG · 0 maps
Dust2Mai Tai ban
43%50%
Mai Tai · 3 mapsedge BERG +7%BERG · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMai Tai remove Dust2
2. BanBERG remove Mirage
3. PickMai Tai take Cache
4. PickBERG take Nuke
5. BanBERG remove Ancient
6. BanMai Tai remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (38% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:9
Mai Tai 38%BERG 62%
The model gave 62% on BERG — the map was taken by Mai Tai.
Ancientprediction missed13:1
Mai Tai 37%BERG 63%
The model gave 63% on BERG — the map was taken by Mai Tai.
Model check result
Model favoriteBERG · 53%
Series resultMai Tai 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2