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Exort Fiesta Series 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Mai Tai#136 in the world
series probability
35%65%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Endless Journey#170 in the world
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMai Tai pick
39%60%
Mai Tai · 14 mapsedge Endless Journey +21%Endless Journey · 11 maps
Defaultpossible decider
35%50%
Mai Tai · 13 mapsedge Endless Journey +15%Endless Journey · 4 maps
AncientEndless Journey ban
42%33%
Mai Tai · 8 mapsedge Mai Tai +9%Endless Journey · 5 maps
Dust2Endless Journey pick
43%69%
Mai Tai · 3 mapsedge Endless Journey +26%Endless Journey · 9 maps
AnubisEndless Journey ban
33%38%
Mai Tai · 5 mapsedge Endless Journey +5%Endless Journey · 4 maps
NukeMai Tai ban
38%44%
Mai Tai · 4 mapsedge Endless Journey +6%Endless Journey · 5 maps
InfernoMai Tai ban
50%40%
Mai Tai · 0 mapsedge Mai Tai +10%Endless Journey · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMai Tai remove Inferno
2. BanEndless Journey remove Anubis
3. PickMai Tai take Mirage
4. PickEndless Journey take Dust2
5. BanEndless Journey remove Ancient
6. BanMai Tai remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (35% / 50%)