CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ROUNDS#231 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultROUNDS pick
38%50%
Mai Tai · 4 mapsedge ROUNDS +12%ROUNDS · 0 maps
InfernoMai Tai ban
50%43%
Mai Tai · 0 mapsedge Mai Tai +7%ROUNDS · 3 maps
MirageMai Tai pick
40%50%
Mai Tai · 1 mapedge ROUNDS +10%ROUNDS · 2 maps
AncientROUNDS ban
50%50%
Mai Tai · 0 mapsnearly even +0%ROUNDS · 2 maps
NukeMai Tai ban
50%50%
Mai Tai · 0 mapsnearly even +0%ROUNDS · 2 maps
CacheROUNDS ban
40%50%
Mai Tai · 1 mapedge ROUNDS +10%ROUNDS · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMai Tai remove Inferno
2. BanROUNDS remove Cache
3. PickMai Tai take Mirage
4. PickROUNDS take Default
5. BanROUNDS remove Ancient
6. BanMai Tai remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:6
Mai Tai 43%ROUNDS 57%
The model gave 57% on ROUNDS — the map was taken by Mai Tai.
Ancientprediction missed13:9
Mai Tai 47%ROUNDS 53%
The model gave 53% on ROUNDS — the map was taken by Mai Tai.
Model check result
Model favoriteMai Tai · 57%
Series resultMai Tai 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2