CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
MANA#86 in the world · win 2:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HYPERSPIRIT#135 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageHYPERSPIRIT ban
60%40%
MANA · 1 mapedge MANA +20%HYPERSPIRIT · 1 map
OverpassMANA pick
40%40%
MANA · 1 mapnearly even +0%HYPERSPIRIT · 1 map
AnubisMANA ban
40%50%
MANA · 1 mapedge HYPERSPIRIT +10%HYPERSPIRIT · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMANA remove Anubis
2. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Mirage
3. PickMANA take Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed16:14
MANA 37%HYPERSPIRIT 63%
The model gave 63% on HYPERSPIRIT — the map was taken by MANA.
Mirageprediction correct13:5
MANA 72%HYPERSPIRIT 28%
The model gave 72% on MANA — the map was taken by MANA.
Model check result
Model favoriteHYPERSPIRIT · 51%
Series resultMANA 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2