CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Defaultex-GUARA ban
40%22%
Mansão Maromba · 1 mapedge Mansão Maromba +18%ex-GUARA · 5 maps
InfernoMansão Maromba ban
40%50%
Mansão Maromba · 1 mapedge ex-GUARA +10%ex-GUARA · 0 maps
MirageMansão Maromba pick
40%50%
Mansão Maromba · 1 mapedge ex-GUARA +10%ex-GUARA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMansão Maromba remove Inferno
2. Banex-GUARA remove Default
3. PickMansão Maromba take Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Mansão Maromba 70%ex-GUARA 30%
The model gave 70% on Mansão Maromba — the map was taken by Mansão Maromba.
Model check result
Model favoriteMansão Maromba · 52%
Series resultMansão Maromba 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1