ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 3 · BO3
live · recalculated in real timeseries probability now
42%58%
was 37% pre-match
Rooster#196 in the worldIn live mode the model factors in the current map and round score, team winrate on the maps being played and form. The probability is recalculated as the match unfolds.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoMARKandLARRY ban
43%54%
MARKandLARRY · 3 mapsedge Rooster +11%Rooster · 9 maps
AnubisMARKandLARRY ban
40%62%
MARKandLARRY · 1 mapedge Rooster +22%Rooster · 9 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%44%
MARKandLARRY · 4 mapsedge MARKandLARRY +6%Rooster · 5 maps
NukeRooster ban
67%36%
MARKandLARRY · 2 mapsedge MARKandLARRY +31%Rooster · 7 maps
CacheRooster pick
43%75%
MARKandLARRY · 3 mapsedge Rooster +32%Rooster · 4 maps
Dust2Rooster ban
50%43%
MARKandLARRY · 2 mapsedge MARKandLARRY +7%Rooster · 3 maps
DefaultMARKandLARRY pick
50%40%
MARKandLARRY · 0 mapsedge MARKandLARRY +10%Rooster · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMARKandLARRY remove Anubis
2. BanRooster remove Nuke
3. PickMARKandLARRY take Default
4. PickRooster take Cache
5. BanRooster remove Dust2
6. BanMARKandLARRY remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (50% / 44%)
Probability by map
For each map in the series — win chance factoring in the round score and historical map winrate over 3 months. Played maps are locked, the current one is recalculated by the score.
Miragenot played · MARKandLARRY pick— : —
MARKandLARRY 58%Rooster 42%
Historical winrate over 3 months: MARKandLARRY 50% (4 maps) vs 44% (5 maps) for Rooster.
Cachenot played · Rooster pick— : —
MARKandLARRY 18%Rooster 82%
Historical winrate over 3 months: MARKandLARRY 43% (3 maps) vs 75% (4 maps) for Rooster.
Dust2not played · decider— : —
MARKandLARRY 57%Rooster 43%
Historical winrate over 3 months: MARKandLARRY 50% (2 maps) vs 43% (3 maps) for Rooster.