ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Marsborne#104 in the worldseries probability
57%43%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientMarsborne pick
67%50%
Marsborne · 8 mapsedge Marsborne +17%Elusive · 0 maps
MirageElusive ban
64%50%
Marsborne · 7 mapsedge Marsborne +14%Elusive · 0 maps
InfernoElusive ban
70%50%
Marsborne · 6 mapsedge Marsborne +20%Elusive · 0 maps
Anubispossible decider
63%50%
Marsborne · 4 mapsedge Marsborne +13%Elusive · 0 maps
OverpassMarsborne ban
50%50%
Marsborne · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Elusive · 0 maps
Dust2Marsborne ban
50%50%
Marsborne · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Elusive · 0 maps
CacheElusive pick
40%50%
Marsborne · 1 mapedge Elusive +10%Elusive · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMarsborne remove Dust2
2. BanElusive remove Inferno
3. PickMarsborne take Ancient
4. PickElusive take Cache
5. BanElusive remove Mirage
6. BanMarsborne remove Overpass
DeciderAnubis (63% / 50%)