NSTLGA League Season 2 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Marsborne#84 in the worldseries probability
66%34%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Iowa Stormboar#168 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoIowa Stormboar ban
60%30%
Marsborne · 11 mapsedge Marsborne +30%Iowa Stormboar · 6 maps
Ancientpossible decider
63%75%
Marsborne · 12 mapsedge Iowa Stormboar +12%Iowa Stormboar · 4 maps
MirageMarsborne ban
70%54%
Marsborne · 6 mapsedge Marsborne +16%Iowa Stormboar · 9 maps
Dust2Iowa Stormboar ban
58%50%
Marsborne · 8 mapsedge Marsborne +8%Iowa Stormboar · 6 maps
NukeIowa Stormboar pick
56%50%
Marsborne · 5 mapsedge Marsborne +6%Iowa Stormboar · 8 maps
AnubisMarsborne pick
67%50%
Marsborne · 5 mapsedge Marsborne +17%Iowa Stormboar · 2 maps
CacheMarsborne ban
40%50%
Marsborne · 1 mapedge Iowa Stormboar +10%Iowa Stormboar · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMarsborne remove Cache
2. BanIowa Stormboar remove Inferno
3. PickMarsborne take Anubis
4. PickIowa Stormboar take Nuke
5. BanIowa Stormboar remove Dust2
6. BanMarsborne remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (63% / 75%)