CCT 2026 South America Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Martians#220 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HHacha#210 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientHacha ban
40%50%
Martians · 1 mapedge Hacha +10%Hacha · 0 maps
Dust2Martians ban
40%50%
Martians · 1 mapedge Hacha +10%Hacha · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMartians remove Dust2
2. BanHacha remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
Martians 37%Hacha 63%
The model gave 63% on Hacha — the map was taken by Hacha.
Mirageprediction missed12:16
Martians 53%Hacha 47%
The model gave 53% on Martians — the map was taken by Hacha.
Model check result
Model favoriteHacha · 50%
Series resultHacha 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2