CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
megoshort#179 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Fire Flux#103 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
50%55%
megoshort · 10 mapsedge Fire Flux +5%Fire Flux · 18 maps
Miragemegoshort pick
47%50%
megoshort · 15 mapsnearly even -3%Fire Flux · 12 maps
CacheFire Flux ban
55%59%
megoshort · 7 mapsnearly even -4%Fire Flux · 13 maps
Infernomegoshort ban
31%67%
megoshort · 9 mapsedge Fire Flux +36%Fire Flux · 11 maps
AnubisFire Flux pick
57%65%
megoshort · 3 mapsedge Fire Flux +8%Fire Flux · 16 maps
AncientFire Flux ban
59%25%
megoshort · 13 mapsedge megoshort +34%Fire Flux · 4 maps
Nukemegoshort ban
50%47%
megoshort · 0 mapsnearly even +3%Fire Flux · 11 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banmegoshort remove Nuke
2. BanFire Flux remove Ancient
3. Pickmegoshort take Mirage
4. PickFire Flux take Anubis
5. BanFire Flux remove Cache
6. Banmegoshort remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (50% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed3:13
megoshort 50%Fire Flux 50%
The model gave 50% on megoshort — the map was taken by Fire Flux.
Anubisprediction correct6:13
megoshort 39%Fire Flux 61%
The model gave 61% on Fire Flux — the map was taken by Fire Flux.
Model check result
Model favoriteFire Flux · 64%
Series resultFire Flux 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2