CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
mellren#147 in the world · win 2:1series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Bushido Wildcats#84 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bushido Wildcats pick
50%72%
mellren · 4 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +22%Bushido Wildcats · 25 maps
Miragemellren pick
71%68%
mellren · 3 mapsnearly even +3%Bushido Wildcats · 15 maps
Nukemellren ban
50%42%
mellren · 0 mapsedge mellren +8%Bushido Wildcats · 15 maps
InfernoBushido Wildcats ban
63%50%
mellren · 4 mapsedge mellren +13%Bushido Wildcats · 6 maps
Anubispossible decider
60%58%
mellren · 1 mapnearly even +2%Bushido Wildcats · 8 maps
AncientBushido Wildcats ban
56%40%
mellren · 5 mapsedge mellren +16%Bushido Wildcats · 1 map
Cachemellren ban
50%50%
mellren · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Bushido Wildcats · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banmellren remove Cache
2. BanBushido Wildcats remove Ancient
3. Pickmellren take Mirage
4. PickBushido Wildcats take Dust2
5. BanBushido Wildcats remove Inferno
6. Banmellren remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (60% / 58%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
mellren 25%Bushido Wildcats 75%
The model gave 75% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by mellren.
Infernoprediction missed8:13
mellren 65%Bushido Wildcats 35%
The model gave 65% on mellren — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Mirageprediction correct16:12
mellren 54%Bushido Wildcats 46%
The model gave 54% on mellren — the map was taken by mellren.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 63%
Series resultmellren 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3