CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
mellren#118 in the world · win 1:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragemellren pick
71%50%
mellren · 10 mapsedge mellren +21%ex-Sashi Academy · 2 maps
Ancientex-Sashi Academy ban
60%33%
mellren · 6 mapsedge mellren +27%ex-Sashi Academy · 2 maps
Dust2ex-Sashi Academy ban
55%40%
mellren · 7 mapsedge mellren +15%ex-Sashi Academy · 1 map
Infernoex-Sashi Academy pick
60%50%
mellren · 6 mapsedge mellren +10%ex-Sashi Academy · 2 maps
Anubispossible decider
71%50%
mellren · 3 mapsedge mellren +21%ex-Sashi Academy · 2 maps
Nukemellren ban
33%50%
mellren · 2 mapsedge ex-Sashi Academy +17%ex-Sashi Academy · 2 maps
Defaultmellren ban
50%50%
mellren · 0 mapsnearly even +0%ex-Sashi Academy · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banmellren remove Nuke
2. Banex-Sashi Academy remove Dust2
3. Pickmellren take Mirage
4. Pickex-Sashi Academy take Inferno
5. Banex-Sashi Academy remove Ancient
6. Banmellren remove Default
DeciderAnubis (71% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
mellren 50%ex-Sashi Academy 50%
The model gave 50% on mellren — the map was taken by mellren.
Model check result
Model favoritemellren · 67%
Series resultmellren 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1