CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
mellren#118 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Falcons Force#144 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragemellren pick
71%50%
mellren · 10 mapsedge mellren +21%Falcons Force · 6 maps
InfernoFalcons Force pick
60%60%
mellren · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Falcons Force · 6 maps
Ancientmellren ban
60%57%
mellren · 6 mapsnearly even +3%Falcons Force · 3 maps
Dust2Falcons Force ban
55%40%
mellren · 7 mapsedge mellren +15%Falcons Force · 1 map
NukeFalcons Force ban
33%33%
mellren · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Falcons Force · 5 maps
Anubispossible decider
71%57%
mellren · 3 mapsedge mellren +14%Falcons Force · 3 maps
Cachemellren ban
50%67%
mellren · 0 mapsedge Falcons Force +17%Falcons Force · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banmellren remove Cache
2. BanFalcons Force remove Dust2
3. Pickmellren take Mirage
4. PickFalcons Force take Inferno
5. BanFalcons Force remove Nuke
6. Banmellren remove Ancient
DeciderAnubis (71% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct9:13
mellren 47%Falcons Force 53%
The model gave 53% on Falcons Force — the map was taken by Falcons Force.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
mellren 74%Falcons Force 26%
The model gave 74% on mellren — the map was taken by Falcons Force.
Model check result
Model favoritemellren · 55%
Series resultFalcons Force 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2