CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
mellren#94 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragemellren pick
68%47%
mellren · 24 mapsedge mellren +21%Spirit Academy · 11 maps
AncientSpirit Academy pick
72%68%
mellren · 14 mapsnearly even +4%Spirit Academy · 15 maps
Nukemellren ban
20%47%
mellren · 11 mapsedge Spirit Academy +27%Spirit Academy · 15 maps
Dust2possible decider
62%56%
mellren · 9 mapsedge mellren +6%Spirit Academy · 14 maps
Cachemellren ban
50%53%
mellren · 0 mapsnearly even -3%Spirit Academy · 13 maps
InfernoSpirit Academy ban
59%50%
mellren · 13 mapsedge mellren +9%Spirit Academy · 0 maps
AnubisSpirit Academy ban
67%67%
mellren · 5 mapsnearly even +0%Spirit Academy · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banmellren remove Cache
2. BanSpirit Academy remove Inferno
3. Pickmellren take Mirage
4. PickSpirit Academy take Ancient
5. BanSpirit Academy remove Anubis
6. Banmellren remove Nuke
DeciderDust2 (62% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct11:13
mellren 20%Spirit Academy 80%
The model gave 80% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
mellren 73%Spirit Academy 27%
The model gave 73% on mellren — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Model check result
Model favoritemellren · 52%
Series resultSpirit Academy 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2