CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Patins da Ferrari#154 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2METANOIA Wolves pick
50%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 10 mapsnearly even +0%Patins da Ferrari · 2 maps
AncientPatins da Ferrari pick
50%67%
METANOIA Wolves · 6 mapsedge Patins da Ferrari +17%Patins da Ferrari · 2 maps
NukePatins da Ferrari ban
50%38%
METANOIA Wolves · 4 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +12%Patins da Ferrari · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
56%60%
METANOIA Wolves · 5 mapsnearly even -4%Patins da Ferrari · 1 map
InfernoPatins da Ferrari ban
38%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 4 mapsedge Patins da Ferrari +12%Patins da Ferrari · 0 maps
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
33%67%
METANOIA Wolves · 2 mapsedge Patins da Ferrari +34%Patins da Ferrari · 2 maps
AnubisMETANOIA Wolves ban
29%50%
METANOIA Wolves · 3 mapsedge Patins da Ferrari +21%Patins da Ferrari · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
2. BanPatins da Ferrari remove Inferno
3. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Dust2
4. PickPatins da Ferrari take Ancient
5. BanPatins da Ferrari remove Nuke
6. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (56% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct1:13
METANOIA Wolves 18%Patins da Ferrari 82%
The model gave 82% on Patins da Ferrari — the map was taken by Patins da Ferrari.
Ancientprediction correct9:13
METANOIA Wolves 36%Patins da Ferrari 64%
The model gave 64% on Patins da Ferrari — the map was taken by Patins da Ferrari.
Model check result
Model favoritePatins da Ferrari · 57%
Series resultPatins da Ferrari 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2