ROG JOURNEY Summer 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Metizport#52 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Alliance#22 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeMetizport pick
57%54%
Metizport · 3 mapsnearly even +3%Alliance · 9 maps
InfernoAlliance pick
60%79%
Metizport · 1 mapedge Alliance +19%Alliance · 10 maps
OverpassAlliance ban
56%29%
Metizport · 5 mapsedge Metizport +27%Alliance · 3 maps
AncientMetizport ban
50%60%
Metizport · 0 mapsedge Alliance +10%Alliance · 6 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%40%
Metizport · 0 mapsedge Metizport +10%Alliance · 6 maps
Dust2Metizport ban
50%50%
Metizport · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Alliance · 6 maps
MirageAlliance ban
57%50%
Metizport · 3 mapsedge Metizport +7%Alliance · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMetizport remove Dust2
2. BanAlliance remove Mirage
3. PickMetizport take Nuke
4. PickAlliance take Inferno
5. BanAlliance remove Overpass
6. BanMetizport remove Ancient
DeciderAnubis (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed15:19
Metizport 56%Alliance 44%
The model gave 56% on Metizport — the map was taken by Alliance.
Anubisprediction correct13:5
Metizport 57%Alliance 43%
The model gave 57% on Metizport — the map was taken by Metizport.
Infernoprediction correct11:13
Metizport 29%Alliance 71%
The model gave 71% on Alliance — the map was taken by Alliance.
Model check result
Model favoriteAlliance · 76%
Series resultAlliance 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3