NODWIN Clutch Series 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
Metizport#65 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BRUTE#89 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeMetizport pick
56%62%
Metizport · 23 mapsedge BRUTE +6%BRUTE · 9 maps
MirageBRUTE pick
56%58%
Metizport · 14 mapsnearly even -2%BRUTE · 15 maps
AnubisBRUTE ban
62%44%
Metizport · 9 mapsedge Metizport +18%BRUTE · 14 maps
Infernopossible decider
61%64%
Metizport · 14 mapsnearly even -3%BRUTE · 7 maps
CacheMetizport ban
57%67%
Metizport · 10 mapsedge BRUTE +10%BRUTE · 8 maps
Dust2Metizport ban
50%60%
Metizport · 0 mapsedge BRUTE +10%BRUTE · 16 maps
AncientBRUTE ban
64%33%
Metizport · 10 mapsedge Metizport +31%BRUTE · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMetizport remove Dust2
2. BanBRUTE remove Ancient
3. PickMetizport take Nuke
4. PickBRUTE take Mirage
5. BanBRUTE remove Anubis
6. BanMetizport remove Cache
DeciderInferno (61% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct6:13
Metizport 44%BRUTE 56%
The model gave 56% on BRUTE — the map was taken by BRUTE.
Nukeprediction correct17:19
Metizport 47%BRUTE 53%
The model gave 53% on BRUTE — the map was taken by BRUTE.
Model check result
Model favoriteMetizport · 64%
Series resultBRUTE 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2