CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Metizport#52 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga#22 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
64%50%
Metizport · 7 mapsedge Metizport +14%Nemiga · 18 maps
NukeMetizport pick
53%54%
Metizport · 13 mapsnearly even -1%Nemiga · 9 maps
AnubisNemiga pick
64%73%
Metizport · 7 mapsedge Nemiga +9%Nemiga · 11 maps
MirageMetizport ban
67%71%
Metizport · 8 mapsnearly even -4%Nemiga · 10 maps
Dust2Metizport ban
50%56%
Metizport · 0 mapsedge Nemiga +6%Nemiga · 14 maps
InfernoNemiga ban
59%60%
Metizport · 13 mapsnearly even -1%Nemiga · 1 map
CacheNemiga ban
56%64%
Metizport · 5 mapsedge Nemiga +8%Nemiga · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMetizport remove Dust2
2. BanNemiga remove Inferno
3. PickMetizport take Nuke
4. PickNemiga take Anubis
5. BanNemiga remove Cache
6. BanMetizport remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (64% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct14:16
Metizport 42%Nemiga 58%
The model gave 58% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Nukeprediction missed8:13
Metizport 52%Nemiga 48%
The model gave 52% on Metizport — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 63%
Series resultNemiga 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2