HyperX Retake Season 13 · BO1
result vs prediction
Metizport#65 in the world · win 19:16series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 19:16
SNITKO#155 in the world · loss 16:19The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
54%50%
Metizport · 24 mapsnearly even +4%SNITKO · 0 maps
InfernoSNITKO ban
58%50%
Metizport · 15 mapsedge Metizport +8%SNITKO · 0 maps
MirageMetizport ban
56%50%
Metizport · 14 mapsedge Metizport +6%SNITKO · 0 maps
AncientSNITKO ban
64%50%
Metizport · 10 mapsedge Metizport +14%SNITKO · 0 maps
CacheMetizport ban
57%50%
Metizport · 10 mapsedge Metizport +7%SNITKO · 0 maps
AnubisMetizport ban
62%50%
Metizport · 9 mapsedge Metizport +12%SNITKO · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMetizport remove Anubis
2. BanSNITKO remove Ancient
3. BanMetizport remove Cache
4. BanSNITKO remove Inferno
5. BanMetizport remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (54% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct19:16
Metizport 64%SNITKO 36%
The model gave 64% on Metizport — the map was taken by Metizport.
Model check result
Model favoriteMetizport · 69%
Series resultMetizport 19:16
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1