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CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
MIBR Academy#134 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Patins da Ferrari#154 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientMIBR Academy ban
50%50%
MIBR Academy · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Patins da Ferrari · 0 maps
MiragePatins da Ferrari ban
60%50%
MIBR Academy · 6 mapsedge MIBR Academy +10%Patins da Ferrari · 0 maps
NukeMIBR Academy pick
60%50%
MIBR Academy · 6 mapsedge MIBR Academy +10%Patins da Ferrari · 0 maps
Dust2MIBR Academy ban
38%50%
MIBR Academy · 4 mapsedge Patins da Ferrari +12%Patins da Ferrari · 0 maps
OverpassPatins da Ferrari pick
38%50%
MIBR Academy · 4 mapsedge Patins da Ferrari +12%Patins da Ferrari · 0 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%50%
MIBR Academy · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Patins da Ferrari · 0 maps
DefaultPatins da Ferrari ban
67%50%
MIBR Academy · 2 mapsedge MIBR Academy +17%Patins da Ferrari · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMIBR Academy remove Dust2
2. BanPatins da Ferrari remove Default
3. PickMIBR Academy take Nuke
4. PickPatins da Ferrari take Overpass
5. BanPatins da Ferrari remove Mirage
6. BanMIBR Academy remove Ancient
DeciderAnubis (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed10:13
MIBR Academy 57%Patins da Ferrari 43%
The model gave 57% on MIBR Academy — the map was taken by Patins da Ferrari.
Nukeprediction correct13:10
MIBR Academy 63%Patins da Ferrari 37%
The model gave 63% on MIBR Academy — the map was taken by MIBR Academy.
Ancientprediction missed8:13
MIBR Academy 50%Patins da Ferrari 50%
The model gave 50% on MIBR Academy — the map was taken by Patins da Ferrari.
Model check result
Model favoriteMIBR Academy · 56%
Series resultPatins da Ferrari 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3