CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
MIBR fe#203 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Isurus#186 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Isurus pick
50%50%
MIBR fe · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Isurus · 6 maps
MirageMIBR fe ban
50%63%
MIBR fe · 0 mapsedge Isurus +13%Isurus · 4 maps
AncientIsurus ban
50%33%
MIBR fe · 0 mapsedge MIBR fe +17%Isurus · 2 maps
InfernoMIBR fe pick
50%50%
MIBR fe · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Isurus · 2 maps
OverpassIsurus ban
50%50%
MIBR fe · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Isurus · 2 maps
DefaultMIBR fe ban
50%60%
MIBR fe · 0 mapsedge Isurus +10%Isurus · 1 map
Nukepossible decider
50%60%
MIBR fe · 0 mapsedge Isurus +10%Isurus · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMIBR fe remove Mirage
2. BanIsurus remove Ancient
3. PickMIBR fe take Inferno
4. PickIsurus take Dust2
5. BanIsurus remove Overpass
6. BanMIBR fe remove Default
DeciderNuke (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
MIBR fe 40%Isurus 60%
The model gave 60% on Isurus — the map was taken by Isurus.
Model check result
Model favoriteIsurus · 67%
Series resultIsurus 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1