CS Asia Championships 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
MIBR#12 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Legacy#6 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientLegacy ban
60%33%
MIBR · 1 mapedge MIBR +27%Legacy · 5 maps
MirageMIBR pick
60%75%
MIBR · 1 mapedge Legacy +15%Legacy · 4 maps
Dust2MIBR ban
50%63%
MIBR · 0 mapsedge Legacy +13%Legacy · 4 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%63%
MIBR · 0 mapsedge Legacy +13%Legacy · 4 maps
InfernoLegacy pick
50%57%
MIBR · 0 mapsedge Legacy +7%Legacy · 3 maps
AnubisLegacy ban
60%60%
MIBR · 1 mapnearly even +0%Legacy · 1 map
OverpassMIBR ban
50%60%
MIBR · 0 mapsedge Legacy +10%Legacy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMIBR remove Dust2
2. BanLegacy remove Anubis
3. PickMIBR take Mirage
4. PickLegacy take Inferno
5. BanLegacy remove Ancient
6. BanMIBR remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (50% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct12:16
MIBR 31%Legacy 69%
The model gave 69% on Legacy — the map was taken by Legacy.
Infernoprediction correct5:13
MIBR 46%Legacy 54%
The model gave 54% on Legacy — the map was taken by Legacy.
Model check result
Model favoriteLegacy · 66%
Series resultLegacy 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2