StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
MIBR#12 in the world · win 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ShindeN#77 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientMIBR ban
36%60%
MIBR · 7 mapsedge ShindeN +24%ShindeN · 6 maps
Miragepossible decider
54%50%
MIBR · 9 mapsnearly even +4%ShindeN · 4 maps
InfernoShindeN pick
44%73%
MIBR · 5 mapsedge ShindeN +29%ShindeN · 7 maps
NukeMIBR pick
60%33%
MIBR · 6 mapsedge MIBR +27%ShindeN · 5 maps
OverpassMIBR ban
40%71%
MIBR · 1 mapedge ShindeN +31%ShindeN · 3 maps
AnubisShindeN ban
71%50%
MIBR · 3 mapsedge MIBR +21%ShindeN · 0 maps
CacheShindeN ban
50%33%
MIBR · 0 mapsedge MIBR +17%ShindeN · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMIBR remove Overpass
2. BanShindeN remove Anubis
3. PickMIBR take Nuke
4. PickShindeN take Inferno
5. BanShindeN remove Cache
6. BanMIBR remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (54% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct16:14
MIBR 73%ShindeN 27%
The model gave 73% on MIBR — the map was taken by MIBR.
Mirageprediction correct13:6
MIBR 57%ShindeN 43%
The model gave 57% on MIBR — the map was taken by MIBR.
Model check result
Model favoriteMIBR · 74%
Series resultMIBR 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2