ANZC Locals Brisbane 2026 Season 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
Mindfreak#213 in the world · loss 10:13series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 10:13
Abyssal#165 in the world · win 13:10The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoAbyssal ban
42%36%
Mindfreak · 15 mapsedge Mindfreak +6%Abyssal · 7 maps
Miragepossible decider
67%79%
Mindfreak · 8 mapsedge Abyssal +12%Abyssal · 10 maps
NukeAbyssal ban
43%33%
Mindfreak · 10 mapsedge Mindfreak +10%Abyssal · 5 maps
Dust2Mindfreak ban
29%70%
Mindfreak · 3 mapsedge Abyssal +41%Abyssal · 6 maps
AncientMindfreak ban
38%57%
Mindfreak · 4 mapsedge Abyssal +19%Abyssal · 3 maps
AnubisAbyssal ban
33%40%
Mindfreak · 5 mapsedge Abyssal +7%Abyssal · 1 map
CacheMindfreak ban
40%60%
Mindfreak · 1 mapedge Abyssal +20%Abyssal · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMindfreak remove Dust2
2. BanAbyssal remove Anubis
3. BanMindfreak remove Cache
4. BanAbyssal remove Nuke
5. BanMindfreak remove Ancient
6. BanAbyssal remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (67% / 79%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct10:13
Mindfreak 31%Abyssal 69%
The model gave 69% on Abyssal — the map was taken by Abyssal.
Model check result
Model favoriteMindfreak · 53%
Series resultAbyssal 10:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1