CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Misa#115 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageBebop pick
50%63%
Misa · 2 mapsedge Bebop +13%Bebop · 4 maps
DefaultMisa pick
50%33%
Misa · 0 mapsedge Misa +17%Bebop · 5 maps
Dust2possible decider
67%71%
Misa · 2 mapsnearly even -4%Bebop · 3 maps
AnubisMisa ban
33%50%
Misa · 2 mapsedge Bebop +17%Bebop · 2 maps
InfernoBebop ban
50%50%
Misa · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Bebop · 2 maps
NukeBebop ban
33%33%
Misa · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Bebop · 2 maps
AncientMisa ban
50%33%
Misa · 0 mapsedge Misa +17%Bebop · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMisa remove Ancient
2. BanBebop remove Inferno
3. PickMisa take Default
4. PickBebop take Mirage
5. BanBebop remove Nuke
6. BanMisa remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (67% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct11:13
Misa 47%Bebop 53%
The model gave 53% on Bebop — the map was taken by Bebop.
Mirageprediction correct11:13
Misa 35%Bebop 65%
The model gave 65% on Bebop — the map was taken by Bebop.
Model check result
Model favoriteBebop · 69%
Series resultBebop 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2