CCT 2026 Contenders Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Misa#115 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Endless Journey#172 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Misa pick
60%40%
Misa · 1 mapedge Misa +20%Endless Journey · 1 map
AncientMisa ban
50%40%
Misa · 0 mapsedge Misa +10%Endless Journey · 1 map
AnubisEndless Journey ban
40%50%
Misa · 1 mapedge Endless Journey +10%Endless Journey · 0 maps
InfernoEndless Journey pick
40%50%
Misa · 1 mapedge Endless Journey +10%Endless Journey · 0 maps
NukeEndless Journey ban
50%60%
Misa · 0 mapsedge Endless Journey +10%Endless Journey · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMisa remove Ancient
2. BanEndless Journey remove Anubis
3. PickMisa take Dust2
4. PickEndless Journey take Inferno
5. BanEndless Journey remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction missed6:13
Misa 53%Endless Journey 47%
The model gave 53% on Misa — the map was taken by Endless Journey.
Infernoprediction missed19:15
Misa 37%Endless Journey 63%
The model gave 63% on Endless Journey — the map was taken by Misa.
Nukeprediction correct2:13
Misa 40%Endless Journey 60%
The model gave 60% on Endless Journey — the map was taken by Endless Journey.
Model check result
Model favoriteMisa · 55%
Series resultEndless Journey 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3