CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Misa#115 in the world · win 2:1series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Misa pick
50%43%
Misa · 30 mapsedge Misa +7%Mai Tai · 3 maps
MirageMai Tai pick
38%38%
Misa · 20 mapsnearly even +0%Mai Tai · 12 maps
NukeMisa ban
47%43%
Misa · 15 mapsnearly even +4%Mai Tai · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
56%38%
Misa · 5 mapsedge Misa +18%Mai Tai · 12 maps
AnubisMai Tai ban
50%33%
Misa · 14 mapsedge Misa +17%Mai Tai · 2 maps
CacheMisa ban
36%57%
Misa · 10 mapsedge Mai Tai +21%Mai Tai · 3 maps
InfernoMai Tai ban
54%50%
Misa · 9 mapsnearly even +4%Mai Tai · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMisa remove Nuke
2. BanMai Tai remove Inferno
3. PickMisa take Dust2
4. PickMai Tai take Mirage
5. BanMai Tai remove Anubis
6. BanMisa remove Cache
DeciderDefault (56% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed11:13
Misa 69%Mai Tai 31%
The model gave 69% on Misa — the map was taken by Mai Tai.
Mirageprediction missed13:7
Misa 47%Mai Tai 53%
The model gave 53% on Mai Tai — the map was taken by Misa.
Cacheprediction missed13:7
Misa 29%Mai Tai 71%
The model gave 71% on Mai Tai — the map was taken by Misa.
Model check result
Model favoriteMai Tai · 63%
Series resultMisa 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3