CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Misa#115 in the world · win 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
OlyBet#225 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Misa pick
57%50%
Misa · 19 mapsedge Misa +7%OlyBet · 6 maps
MirageMisa ban
41%57%
Misa · 13 mapsedge OlyBet +16%OlyBet · 3 maps
NukeOlyBet pick
43%40%
Misa · 10 mapsnearly even +3%OlyBet · 6 maps
AnubisOlyBet ban
46%40%
Misa · 9 mapsedge Misa +6%OlyBet · 1 map
InfernoOlyBet ban
45%43%
Misa · 7 mapsnearly even +2%OlyBet · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%40%
Misa · 4 mapsedge Misa +10%OlyBet · 1 map
CacheMisa ban
50%40%
Misa · 2 mapsedge Misa +10%OlyBet · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMisa remove Mirage
2. BanOlyBet remove Anubis
3. PickMisa take Dust2
4. PickOlyBet take Nuke
5. BanOlyBet remove Inferno
6. BanMisa remove Cache
DeciderDefault (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
Misa 54%OlyBet 46%
The model gave 54% on Misa — the map was taken by Misa.
Anubisprediction correct13:3
Misa 59%OlyBet 41%
The model gave 59% on Misa — the map was taken by Misa.
Model check result
Model favoriteMisa · 59%
Series resultMisa 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2