CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Misa#115 in the world · win 1:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Wampirki ban
67%50%
Misa · 14 mapsedge Misa +17%Wampirki · 0 maps
MirageMisa ban
46%50%
Misa · 9 mapsnearly even -4%Wampirki · 0 maps
NukeWampirki ban
46%50%
Misa · 9 mapsnearly even -4%Wampirki · 0 maps
Infernopossible decider
40%50%
Misa · 6 mapsedge Wampirki +10%Wampirki · 0 maps
AnubisMisa ban
44%50%
Misa · 5 mapsedge Wampirki +6%Wampirki · 0 maps
OverpassWampirki pick
33%50%
Misa · 2 mapsedge Wampirki +17%Wampirki · 0 maps
DefaultMisa pick
60%50%
Misa · 1 mapedge Misa +10%Wampirki · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMisa remove Mirage
2. BanWampirki remove Dust2
3. PickMisa take Default
4. PickWampirki take Overpass
5. BanWampirki remove Nuke
6. BanMisa remove Anubis
DeciderInferno (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Misa 60%Wampirki 40%
The model gave 60% on Misa — the map was taken by Misa.
Model check result
Model favoriteMisa · 59%
Series resultMisa 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1