CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
MOUZ NXT#146 in the world · win 1:0series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2MOUZ NXT ban
50%71%
MOUZ NXT · 2 mapsedge Bebop +21%Bebop · 3 maps
DefaultMOUZ NXT pick
50%38%
MOUZ NXT · 0 mapsedge MOUZ NXT +12%Bebop · 4 maps
MirageBebop pick
33%67%
MOUZ NXT · 2 mapsedge Bebop +34%Bebop · 2 maps
AncientBebop ban
60%40%
MOUZ NXT · 1 mapedge MOUZ NXT +20%Bebop · 1 map
InfernoMOUZ NXT ban
50%50%
MOUZ NXT · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Bebop · 2 maps
NukeBebop ban
40%40%
MOUZ NXT · 1 mapnearly even +0%Bebop · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMOUZ NXT remove Inferno
2. BanBebop remove Ancient
3. PickMOUZ NXT take Default
4. PickBebop take Mirage
5. BanBebop remove Nuke
6. BanMOUZ NXT remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
MOUZ NXT 63%Bebop 37%
The model gave 63% on MOUZ NXT — the map was taken by MOUZ NXT.
Model check result
Model favoriteBebop · 58%
Series resultMOUZ NXT 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1