LeonBet Masters Season 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
MOUZ NXT#146 in the world · loss 11:13series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 11:13
FaZe Up Next#151 in the world · win 13:11The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeFaZe Up Next ban
63%50%
MOUZ NXT · 20 mapsedge MOUZ NXT +13%FaZe Up Next · 0 maps
Dust2FaZe Up Next ban
24%50%
MOUZ NXT · 17 mapsedge FaZe Up Next +26%FaZe Up Next · 0 maps
CacheMOUZ NXT ban
50%40%
MOUZ NXT · 14 mapsedge MOUZ NXT +10%FaZe Up Next · 1 map
MirageMOUZ NXT ban
28%40%
MOUZ NXT · 14 mapsedge FaZe Up Next +12%FaZe Up Next · 1 map
Ancientpossible decider
67%60%
MOUZ NXT · 8 mapsedge MOUZ NXT +7%FaZe Up Next · 1 map
AnubisMOUZ NXT ban
44%60%
MOUZ NXT · 5 mapsedge FaZe Up Next +16%FaZe Up Next · 1 map
DefaultFaZe Up Next ban
67%50%
MOUZ NXT · 2 mapsedge MOUZ NXT +17%FaZe Up Next · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMOUZ NXT remove Anubis
2. BanFaZe Up Next remove Dust2
3. BanMOUZ NXT remove Mirage
4. BanFaZe Up Next remove Default
5. BanMOUZ NXT remove Cache
6. BanFaZe Up Next remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (67% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed11:13
MOUZ NXT 63%FaZe Up Next 37%
The model gave 63% on MOUZ NXT — the map was taken by FaZe Up Next.
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ NXT · 52%
Series resultFaZe Up Next 11:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1