CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
MOUZ NXT#142 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:2
PCIFIC#115 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2PCIFIC pick
20%59%
MOUZ NXT · 11 mapsedge PCIFIC +39%PCIFIC · 13 maps
MiragePCIFIC ban
25%40%
MOUZ NXT · 12 mapsedge PCIFIC +15%PCIFIC · 6 maps
NukeMOUZ NXT pick
63%50%
MOUZ NXT · 12 mapsedge MOUZ NXT +13%PCIFIC · 6 maps
Cachepossible decider
53%57%
MOUZ NXT · 11 mapsnearly even -4%PCIFIC · 3 maps
AnubisMOUZ NXT ban
50%22%
MOUZ NXT · 4 mapsedge MOUZ NXT +28%PCIFIC · 5 maps
InfernoMOUZ NXT ban
40%50%
MOUZ NXT · 1 mapedge PCIFIC +10%PCIFIC · 6 maps
AncientPCIFIC ban
67%50%
MOUZ NXT · 5 mapsedge MOUZ NXT +17%PCIFIC · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMOUZ NXT remove Inferno
2. BanPCIFIC remove Ancient
3. PickMOUZ NXT take Nuke
4. PickPCIFIC take Dust2
5. BanPCIFIC remove Mirage
6. BanMOUZ NXT remove Anubis
DeciderCache (53% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct5:13
MOUZ NXT 13%PCIFIC 87%
The model gave 87% on PCIFIC — the map was taken by PCIFIC.
Nukeprediction correct13:8
MOUZ NXT 65%PCIFIC 35%
The model gave 65% on MOUZ NXT — the map was taken by MOUZ NXT.
Cacheprediction correct11:13
MOUZ NXT 46%PCIFIC 54%
The model gave 54% on PCIFIC — the map was taken by PCIFIC.
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ NXT · 54%
Series resultPCIFIC 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3