BLAST Open Porto 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
MOUZ#3 in the world · win 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
9z#17 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
69%59%
MOUZ · 9 mapsedge MOUZ +10%9z · 13 maps
Mirage9z ban
55%46%
MOUZ · 7 mapsedge MOUZ +9%9z · 9 maps
NukeMOUZ pick
75%50%
MOUZ · 8 mapsedge MOUZ +25%9z · 8 maps
Inferno9z ban
63%53%
MOUZ · 4 mapsedge MOUZ +10%9z · 11 maps
AncientMOUZ ban
27%38%
MOUZ · 7 mapsedge 9z +11%9z · 4 maps
Overpass9z pick
40%67%
MOUZ · 1 mapedge 9z +27%9z · 8 maps
CacheMOUZ ban
50%60%
MOUZ · 0 mapsedge 9z +10%9z · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMOUZ remove Ancient
2. Ban9z remove Mirage
3. PickMOUZ take Nuke
4. Pick9z take Overpass
5. Ban9z remove Inferno
6. BanMOUZ remove Cache
DeciderDust2 (69% / 59%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:4
MOUZ 37%9z 63%
The model gave 63% on 9z — the map was taken by MOUZ.
Nukeprediction correct13:7
MOUZ 77%9z 23%
The model gave 77% on MOUZ — the map was taken by MOUZ.
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 59%
Series resultMOUZ 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2