CS Asia Championships 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
MOUZ#3 in the world · win 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
paiN#29 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeMOUZ pick
67%50%
MOUZ · 5 mapsedge MOUZ +17%paiN · 4 maps
Dust2paiN pick
57%63%
MOUZ · 3 mapsedge paiN +6%paiN · 4 maps
InfernoMOUZ ban
56%40%
MOUZ · 5 mapsedge MOUZ +16%paiN · 1 map
Miragepossible decider
67%60%
MOUZ · 5 mapsedge MOUZ +7%paiN · 1 map
OverpasspaiN ban
60%57%
MOUZ · 1 mapnearly even +3%paiN · 3 maps
AncientpaiN ban
43%50%
MOUZ · 3 mapsedge paiN +7%paiN · 0 maps
AnubisMOUZ ban
50%57%
MOUZ · 0 mapsedge paiN +7%paiN · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMOUZ remove Anubis
2. BanpaiN remove Ancient
3. PickMOUZ take Nuke
4. PickpaiN take Dust2
5. BanpaiN remove Overpass
6. BanMOUZ remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (67% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:4
MOUZ 64%paiN 36%
The model gave 64% on MOUZ — the map was taken by MOUZ.
Overpassprediction correct13:7
MOUZ 56%paiN 44%
The model gave 56% on MOUZ — the map was taken by MOUZ.
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 67%
Series resultMOUZ 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2