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CROSSFIRE Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
my life be likewin 2:1
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Beyond Limits#216 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Infernomy life be like ban
50%63%
my life be like · 0 mapsedge Beyond Limits +13%Beyond Limits · 4 maps
AnubisBeyond Limits ban
50%33%
my life be like · 0 mapsedge my life be like +17%Beyond Limits · 2 maps
Dust2my life be like pick
50%33%
my life be like · 0 mapsedge my life be like +17%Beyond Limits · 2 maps
MirageBeyond Limits ban
50%33%
my life be like · 0 mapsedge my life be like +17%Beyond Limits · 2 maps
NukeBeyond Limits pick
40%60%
my life be like · 1 mapedge Beyond Limits +20%Beyond Limits · 1 map
Ancientmy life be like ban
40%50%
my life be like · 1 mapedge Beyond Limits +10%Beyond Limits · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banmy life be like remove Inferno
2. BanBeyond Limits remove Mirage
3. Pickmy life be like take Dust2
4. PickBeyond Limits take Nuke
5. BanBeyond Limits remove Anubis
6. Banmy life be like remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:11
my life be like 43%Beyond Limits 57%
The model gave 57% on Beyond Limits — the map was taken by my life be like.
Nukeprediction correct13:16
my life be like 28%Beyond Limits 72%
The model gave 72% on Beyond Limits — the map was taken by Beyond Limits.
Mirageprediction correct13:4
my life be like 67%Beyond Limits 33%
The model gave 67% on my life be like — the map was taken by my life be like.
Model check result
Model favoriteBeyond Limits · 55%
Series resultmy life be like 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3